Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 2.953762 3.566971 4.254967 5.080962 6.042417 7.122837 8.425277
2025-03-23 2.035383 2.795281 3.742500 4.997205 6.601148 8.567208 11.141727
2025-03-30 1.418525 2.186110 3.235806 4.748298 6.838637 9.588108 13.432680
2025-04-06 1.083400 1.848109 2.981332 4.734636 7.319183 10.918395 16.220650
2025-04-13 0.842686 1.579397 2.754211 4.691286 7.712742 12.132393 18.937880
2025-04-20 0.725991 1.475548 2.747649 4.959388 8.572786 14.072317 22.844811
2025-04-27 0.618430 1.358917 2.692260 5.128351 9.281776 15.835666 26.627459
2025-05-04 0.544329 1.285044 2.692480 5.380648 10.139824 17.890080 31.007361
2025-05-11 0.450243 1.147513 2.549704 5.354295 10.515309 19.193303 34.292609
2025-05-18 0.356937 0.986634 2.330358 5.148891 10.543616 19.911505 36.667105
2025-05-25 0.278753 0.837739 2.104719 4.891797 10.437603 20.375708 38.632589
2025-06-01 0.233694 0.756461 2.005634 4.868813 10.758000 21.595745 41.956245
2025-06-08 0.197302 0.688794 1.927265 4.883959 11.166329 23.030186 45.805329
2025-06-15 0.165199 0.623189 1.840935 4.868888 11.512493 24.379909 49.606259
2025-06-22 0.129264 0.533340 1.675563 4.648605 11.408444 24.870611 51.876242
2025-06-29 0.108837 0.485491 1.607618 4.643569 11.755430 26.249523 55.880775
2025-07-06 0.090656 0.438293 1.530843 4.603963 12.019671 27.481406 59.683219
2025-07-13 0.084483 0.433307 1.572889 4.868902 12.991937 30.203123 66.518943
2025-07-20 0.076108 0.416610 1.576978 5.035628 13.754223 32.546629 72.751098
2025-07-27 0.070605 0.409829 1.610143 5.284145 14.730718 35.398585 80.149269
2025-08-03 0.059735 0.374858 1.546375 5.258260 15.049155 36.884736 84.894165
2025-08-10 0.047428 0.326691 1.427013 5.056080 14.914079 37.385965 87.662918
2025-08-17 0.036686 0.279649 1.298267 4.803027 14.619803 37.510672 89.651843